IPI Q3 2026 earnings call transcript, November 4, 2026

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference moderator. Welcome to the Intrepid Potash Q3 2026 earnings call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star. One again. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ryan Schultz, investor relations manager. Please go ahead.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss Intrepid's third quarter 2026 results. With me today are Kevin Krushfield, our chief. executive officer. Zach Adams, our vice president of sales and marketing. Rick Kim, our vice president of operations. And Jason Trombley, our chief financial officer. Before I turn the call over to Kevin, I want to remind everyone that today.

Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements about future business and financial expectations. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor from civil litigation for such forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ significantly from those projected in today's forward-looking statements due to various risks and uncertainties, including the risks described in our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Accept as required by law, we... ...and undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements. Further, this call will include the discussion of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation of these measures to the closest GAAP financial measure is included in our earnings press release and course... ...with funding SEC filings, which are available at intrepidpotash.com. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kevin.

Thank you, Ryan, and good morning, everyone. On last quarter's call, I discussed the three pillars of our own value... ...execution, opportunity, and capital discipline. We made good progress on all three of these fronts during the third quarter. With respect to our execution, we increased production and TRIO during the third quarter. We saw... ...operating performance supports a 10,000-ton increase in our full-year 2026 TRIO production guidance and positions us to target annual production of more than 300,000 tons, a goal we didn't expect to achieve until some... ...time in 2027. We're acutely focused on the reliability and predictability of our operations and we're pleased with the improving track record that we're establishing. Rick will discuss the operating drivers behind this progress shortly. With respect to Opportunity as the only U.S.-based producer of murate of potash and one of only two global producers of Langbanite, the mineral we market as Trio, we see significant potential to unlock value through organic growth investment. In potash, our opportunity lies in our ability to increase production while moving down the cost curve through operational excellence. We expect to lower production costs and combined with our transportation cost advantage in our core markets and the diversity of our offerings. We expect to drive profitable growth in our potash business. TRIO's combination of low chloride potassium, magnesium, and sulfate gives us a different

change platform for growth. We believe that potential growth and demand for sulfur nutrition could support this opportunity over time. Zach will discuss the market backdrop for both products in more detail shortly. We believe consistent execution. Rigorous cost controls and strategic organic growth investments can unlock the earnings potential of our existing assets. Driving profitability and improved free cash flow conversion. While cyclical the. Domestic market for agricultural nutrients is large and third party industry forecasts generally anticipate growth over the coming years. Importantly, as we've seen in recent years, the fertilizer market is highly. ...to global geopolitical disruptions and thus a matter of national security. As such, Intrepid is a well-positioned domestic critical mineral producer with attractive production assets in close proximity to... U.S. growing regions. Against this backdrop, as we announced on October 26th, the USDA selected our proposed sulfate of potash, or SOP, project near Carlsbad, New Mexico for approximately 100 years. $139 million in proposed matching funding through its fields program. Based on current project plans, the facility would have annual production capacity of approximately 220,000 tons. If constructed, it would introduce a new product to our portfolio, complementing trio and potash and expanding our presence in specialty fertilizer markets. This could be a pivotal project for a trade.

Allowing us to turn American minerals into a fertilizer product American farmers need. The project is in the advanced stages of planning and evaluation, but remains subject to... ...completion of the award process, fulfillment of all applicable grant conditions, and a final investment decision, which we're currently targeting for late 2027. As we continue our evaluation... ...we remain focused on disciplined capital deployment and generating attractive long-term returns on invested capital. We look forward to sharing additional details as the project advances. Our operational... ...improvements and the constructive selling price environment contributed to the solid cash flow we generated through the first nine months of this year. The cash flow, combined with the proceeds from the sale of our South Ranch asset in the second... quarter puts us in a financial position that gives us multiple pathways to shareholder value creation. Jason will review our capital allocation framework in more detail shortly, but I want to outline our two-pronged... returns-focused strategy for deploying capital. First, we've identified several attractive organic growth opportunities within our existing asset base. We're in the final stages of evaluating capital investments designed to increase production volume. and lower unit costs across both segments. Jason will discuss the two principal projects we plan to pursue in 2027.

We believe these investments can generate attractive returns and support sustained growth over the next several years. Also, on the organic growth front, our development partners continue to advance the Windover lithium project as they work to complete their definitive feasibility study. Discussions with potential off-takers are also in the advanced stages. In addition to growth investments, we're returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases. During the quarter, we repurchase shares under our $50 million. Share Repurchase Authorization. We would plan to accelerate the utilization of this program, depending on how far below intrinsic value we believe our shares are trading. While we purchased a limited number of shares in the third quarter, over the- past five weeks, we've accelerated our repurchasing activity, bringing the total shares we've bought since the end of June to approximately $88,000. Share repurchases are a core component of our returns-focused approach to capital allocation, not a residual- use of cash. We'll continue to weigh every dollar of capital, whether directed to share repurchases, improvements to our existing operations, or potential new growth projects against the returns it can generate for share. with a clear priority on compounding per share value over time. Before I turn it over to Zach, I'd like to extend a special thanks to all of our employees for the work they've led over the last couple of years by working together.

Together, we've increased our production in both trio and potash. We've substantially reduced our costs in trio and are working similarly on our potash cost structure. As a result of their good work, our assets are performing much better. More predictably and reliably as demonstrated by increasing levels of profitability over the last several quarters. I'll close by noting the three pillars I outlined earlier. Execution, opportunity, and capital discipline are converging into a cohesive value creation framework for Intrepid. We're making good progress formulating that framework and we see an opportunity to generate significant returns on invested capital through organic growth investment. purchases and operational execution. As that work matures, we look forward to sharing more detail with you over the coming quarters. Now I'll turn the call over to Zach for a closer look at demand pricing and the market.

Look for potash and trio. Thank you, Kevin. I'll provide additional context on the market environment for potash and trio and how are you thinking about demand heading into year end and the spring application season. During the third quarter, pricing for both potash and trio increased over the prior year period, reflecting the supportive market environment. As we move through the last quarter of 2026, potash pricing has remained stable. Our order books for both potash and trio are well subscribed, giving us a high level of visibility heading into the end of the year. Global potash producer inventories remain balanced, supported by strong demand across key markets, including Brazil, China and Southeast Asia throughout 2026. Looking ahead, we are monitoring factors that could tighten the supply demand balance. In particular, congestion at Baltic ports is currently constraining exports from Russia and Belarus. If these shipping constraints persist into next year, they could limit available supply and provide further support for the market. We are also monitoring reports that negotiations have started on the next annual potash contract. In China, where another early settlement could support continued shipment activity and help keep global supply and demand balances tight. Global software supply constraints are contributing to higher input costs for some sulfate of potash producers, which is pretty impressive.

Pressure on operating rates and availability. A tighter market for low-chloride potassium fertilizers could support demand for TRIO. With sulfur constraints extending beyond sulfate of potash to other sulfur-containing fertilizers, TRIO's sulfate-sulfur component provides an attractive value proposition for growers heading into spring. TRIO is a unique product that supplies three essential plant nutrients, low-chloride potassium, magnesium, and sulfate, and a naturally occurring mineral. Current supply conditions could enhance the appeal of that combination. Importantly, the sulfur and TRIO occurs naturally within the langbonite mineral we mine and is immediately available to the plants in the sulfate form. We do not need to purchase sulfur feedstock to produce TRIO. Reducing our exposure to the feedstock constraints affecting some other fertilizer producers. We believe this positions TRIO well to serve growers seeking low chloride potassium, magnesium, and sulfur nutrition. Looking ahead to spring 2027, grower sentiment has improved, although elevated input costs continue to encourage disciplined purchasing decisions. Demand will be subject to regional and seasonal variation, but we believe growers remain focused on maximizing yields and making effective nutrient investments. Against that backdrop, we expect continued healthy fertilizer demand through the first half of 2027. With that market context.

I'll turn the call over to Rick to discuss our operating performance and the initiative supporting our increased production outlook.

Thanks, Zach. I'll focus on the operating improvements behind our third quarter production gains and the work underway to improve reliability. efficiency and unit costs across our operations. At our potash operations, we are focused on continuing to increase production while maintaining spending discipline. On a year-to-date basis, we have held total spending approximately flat while increasing. Increasing output, allowing us to spread fixed costs across more tons, resulting in lower unit production costs. At our HV mine, improvements in pond management and mill recovery have contributed to increases. These changes are helping us recover additional product that otherwise would have been lost as waste. We deliberately delayed the start of the harvest season at Moab to allow additional evaporation in our ponds. After evaluating several operating scenarios, we determined that this timing would better support long-term production by adding more tons to inventory. While this decision reduced third-quarter production, we expect to recover those tons by year. We also expect the additional evaporation to support higher production at Moab in 2027 and a corresponding reduction in unit costs. Decisions like this reflect our focus on optimizing performance across. Turning to our TRIO segment, production increased 19% year-over-year during the third quarter, driven largely by continued improvements in operating performance at the East Mine.

Our team is increasing. Increasing equipment availability, reducing downtime, and improving productivity. Year-over-year, operating hours increased by 5%, while tons per operating hour increased by approximately 20%. We believe these... These improvements provide a sustainable foundation for further production growth. Higher production improved operating leverage and contributed to a 13% year-over-year reduction in cost of goods sold per ton. Together with higher realized selling prices, these improvements supported stronger segment gross margins. As Kevin noted, we are increasing our full year 2026 TRIO production guidance by 10,000 tons. Our focus is... on sustaining these gains while continuing to improve reliability, productivity, and unit costs. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jason to review our third quarter financial results and outlook. Thank you, Rick.

Third quarter sales from continuing operations were roughly flat with the prior year quarter at $51 million. Gross margin from continuing operations was also in line with last year's third quarter at $10 million. Net income from continuing operations improved to $1.7 million. or $0.13 per diluted share from $700,000 or $0.05 per diluted share last year. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations increased to $11.7 million from $10.7 million last year. As a reminder, the third quarter is typically one of our seasonally weakest quarters, given that it follows the spring planting season and precedes the fall fertilizer application season. In the TRIO segment, sales increased to $19.1 million. from $18.1 million in the prior year quarter. Sales volumes were flat, while average net realized selling price increased 1.5%. Most notably, TRIO gross margin increased 33% year-over-year, driven by the positive impact of a $13,000. ton increase in production volume, which improved absorption and reduced TRIO's cost of goods sold per ton, as well as favorable product mix. In potash, segment sales were $31.3 million, compared to... to $32.5 million in the prior year quarter. Sales volumes declined to 59,000 tons from 62,000 tons, while average net realized sales price increased 3.4% to $394 per ton. Production volume declined 17%. As Rick discussed earlier, we made a strategic decision to delay the startup of our MOAB facility following the summer evaporation process to support production levels and efficiency.

Cost segment gross margin declined due to higher COGS per ton, reflecting a production mix weighted more heavily toward Intrepid's higher cost sites as compared to last year's third quarter. Moving to cash flow and liquidity. Year to date cash flow from continuing operations was 50.5 million compared with 37.3 million in the prior year, with the increase largely attributable to improved operating performance. Capital spending remained disciplined. $11.3 million invested in the third quarter and $24.9 million year to date. We ended the third quarter with $152.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, $9.1 million in short-term investments and no debt. As part of our capital allocation framework, we invested $14.5 million in short- and long-term investments during the third quarter to earn additional returns on cash we've set aside to support our long-term balance sheet stream. Going forward, we'll continue to manage our liquidity carefully, balancing opportunities to earn returns on our cash, the seasonal working capital needs, investments in our growth projects, and ongoing share repurchases. As Kevin mentioned, our balanced approach to capital allocation prioritizes safe and reliable operations, balance sheet flexibility, and investments evaluated against the risk-adjusted return potential, execution readiness, and strategic fit. Within this framework, we will also return capital to shareholders. As I discussed during last quarter's call, balance sheet preservation is the foundation of our capital allocation strategy. We plan to maintain approximately

$50 million in liquidity to navigate cyclical downturns, plus roughly $35 million for working capital needs and cash flow variability. Beyond these amounts, we will deploy capital through disciplined growth investments, particularly with within our existing operating footprint, and share repurchases. As Kevin indicated, we have increased our repurchase activity over the past several weeks. Since the Board approved the $50 million authorization in June, we have repurchased 88,000 shares. for a total of $3 million. Turning to growth investments, our planned spending in 2027 will focus on trio production growth and product mine development within our existing asset base. These are investments. are designed to increase production, extend the life of existing operations, and enhance the business's long-term earnings potential. The trio and potash investments I'll discuss are separate from the proposed SOP project Kevin outlined. As we continue evaluating that opportunity ahead of a final investment decision, we remain committed to our broader capital allocation priorities and will assess the project within the same disciplined returns focused framework. For TRIO, we plan to invest approximately $16 million in 2027 as part of a broader initiative to increase annual production by approximately 30,000 tons above the first half of 2026 run rates. We expect this initiative to generate an internal rate of return of approximately 30%.

We anticipate realizing some of the production benefits in late 2026 and expect full-year 2027 TRIO production in the range of $320. to 330,000 tons. We believe there is potential to increase annual TRIO production by an additional 100,000 tons with modest incremental investment beyond 2027. For potash... We plan to invest approximately 20 million in mine development in 2027 to sustain annual production at levels approximately 20,000 to 30,000 tons above prior years with expected rates of return of approximately 30%. To support these initiatives, we are increasing our full year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to approximately 45 million from approximately 40 million previously. In summary, we executed well during the third quarter. Making meaningful progress toward our stated goals. We increased TRIO production and significantly improved the segment's margins. Our strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation strategy position us to invest in organic growth while returning capital shareholders.

through opportunistic share repurchases. Collectively, we expect these efforts to create long-term value for our shareholders. Operator, we are now ready to begin the Q&A.

We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 1.

Pause for a moment as callers join the queue. Your first question comes from the line of Lucas Beaumont with. UBS, your line is now open. Thanks. Good morning. Just wanted to start on Tria. So, I mean, pricing is up 25% or so over the last two years. I mean, probably half of that sort of came. For the sort of more recent disruptions to the sulfur markets. So, I just kind of wanted to get your view on, I guess, how would you sort of frame that in terms of what do you see as sort of temporary pricing uplift there versus what? It's being more structurally driven by the supply-demand setup. So, I guess, as we sort of go forward and then see a normalisation in those temporary factors, how much of that would you sort of... ...expect to sort of roll off versus sort of being supported on an underlying basis. Thanks.

Hey, Lucas. Thank you for the question. In regards to... ...prio pricing and the changes we've seen over the last several years, we would assign that to a structural change. And yes, the global disruptions to software are supporting that now. But on a broader level, there is just a greater awareness. And a recognition of magnesium and sulfur needs increasing over time in soil nutrient levels. And in combination with that as well, we're seeing a greater appreciation for the low chloride content. And a trio as well on specialty crops. So it's really all three components, the low chloride, potassium, the magnesium, and the sulfur, all having broader awareness and recognition that's helping to structurally change that pricing dynamic. The other thing I'd add to Lucas is, you know, given the conflict in the Mideast, I mean, that's obviously provided some underfooting for higher sulfur prices and to the extent that that gets resolved. Tomorrow, it's not going to come back quickly, we don't think, just based on the level of infrastructure damage that's been done across the across the system. So you can. Refer to it as temporary if you want, but our view is that it it's going to take a long time to get that anywhere back to normal.

Right. And then I guess just. So considering the markets that have been fairly balanced through the middle part of the year here and you're kind of expecting pricing to sort of be flat to kind of slightly lower into the fourth quarter sequentially. So I guess, how do you sort of see the set up there for market momentum for potash into the fall and then peak spring demand? I mean, do you sort of see the market as tight enough that we should see? the price can move higher into the spring or kind of what's your view currently?

Hey Lucas, you know regarding the potash market we see that as very constructive. To your point it has been balanced throughout the year but as we enter the fourth quarter here there's a you know there's several things going on globally. One is the re-engagement of the Chinese on their next potash contract. Which could drive kind of shipments to continue you know to them at a very rateable heavy clip you know what they've done here today. And the other more I'd say thing we're watching even closer is the disruption to the ports in the Baltic. You know estimates are that could impact up to 1.5 million tons here in fourth quarter of potash from Russian Belarus that would not be able to be exported. And we kind of pair that with an improving grower sentiment. And good demand on potash that we've seen this fall and we expect to continue into the spring season. There certainly is some factors that could lead to a tightening market as we get into the first quarter of next year.

Thanks. And then I guess just on your production improvement initiatives there for next year, I mean that's fairly substantial again as well. You're sort of pointing to another kind of 10% increase. So I was just wondering if you could give us a bit more detail. I guess what you're doing and then what sort of a cash cost of production benefit should we, I guess, be thinking about with that kind of 10% uplift there?

Yeah, Lucas, good question. So, you know, on Potash and Trio, I mean, the investments are different, obviously. I think on Trio, rather than talking about anything specifically, we're going to do, we just want to talk about the Trio product as a system. From the mine phase, continuous miner, shuttle cars, belt, plant infrastructure, yields, etc. We just, we think there are opportunities to improve. Operating runtime, maintenance downtime, mill throughput, yields, etc. And that money, those monies will go into just generally I would describe as system improvements to. Better volumes over time. And it's not a sort of one-time thing. We think that's a sustainable long-term run rate. And we think there's upside potential beyond that, which is premature to get into today. That's kind of how we think about TRIO. I'm not going to talk much more about what one miner does or whatever. We're just going to talk about it as improvements to the system and continuing to de-bottleneck the system to generate better production over time. And then on the potash side, it's an investment that is developmental in nature to replace tons as they fall off over the future, but it will stimulate. Lake production, 20,000 to 30,000 tons. We'll start to realize that next year. And look, I'd also point out, too, that some context here is important when we're when you look at the numbers we've provided in terms of next year's.

Range of guidance here, you know, you're in the mid 600,000 ton range and it's been, I don't know, a decade or so since the company has achieved anywhere near that. And so I. I think that's an important part of the story that's not getting captured appropriately. And, you know, those gains have largely come over the last two and a half or three years. And I'd like to credit the team that we have. in place and the good work that's being done at the site level to generating those positive outcomes. I'll refer to Jason for any sort of remarks around the cost piece. Yeah. So on the cost front, you know. These are margin, you know, I would call them marginal tons, right? So I think what you get is much of your fixed cost. It isn't going to adjust. There's some amount of investment and fixed costs that come. It's majority of this. It's marginal production with marginal costs being added. As a result, you see a pretty high fixed cost business and you see that benefit come through. That answer is very specific to TRIO. And I'll get into the potash side. But on the TRIO side, you should see cost benefits just through absorption. As we come to the potash side, I think if you look at it on any individual mine, you're going to see cost benefits. of these investments, right? And largely what this mine development does is provide higher grade to the facilities, which drives kind of more efficient production. Really, your costs aren't changing much.

You're handling the same volume of raw materials to produce incremental volume. So you're getting better volume for largely similar cost structure at most of the sites. The thing that gets hard is and Q3 is a good example. Example of that is, you know, depending which site we're producing tons at and where their relative cost positions are, you can get unusual movements in the consolidated result, right? And that's something we're going to expand on more as we move in. To the future and just help make sure that we help the investors and understand kind of the relative cost performance of site, because I think that's a big driver that moves pieces around. But what we do. know is each of our sites should see cost improvement as the mine development takes hold and the production improves. Right. Thanks very much.

Your next question comes from the line of Vincent Andrew.

Yeah, there's a lot in that question. So out of the 16 million that we called out, we're going to start spending a little bit of that this year. That's why we raised our capital guide. A little bit. You're right. The run rate of late has been really solid, but it's dangerous to annualize a quarter. So what we're trying to do is build sustainable run rates that are... viable, predictable, and dependable, just like I've been saying for the last two years. So a piece of that is there. Is there upside in that? Absolutely. Because the team there is...they've become very dedicated to thinking about the TRIO production system as just that. We had a system and just de-bottlenecking kind of weak point by weak point by weak point. And every time you do that, you generate better volumes over time. So we still think there's tremendous upside potential left on the TRIO. side, and we'll continue to update it on a quarterly basis. Yeah, the only thing I'd add to that is just to the first part of your answer when you were talking about, you know, it's dangerous to annualize a quarter. You have to keep in mind, right? There is, you know, scheduled downtime required for our assets for major maintenance. We have to take turnaround activities on specific assets and timing of those matter, right? And so, you know, in the second half here, we're lighter on the maintenance front and lighter in terms of major asset maintenance, which is

why you're seeing a higher run rate. But it's also indicative of, you know, the fact that we can run at higher rates. But that's why I think you're seeing. Kind of a changing guide. Understood. And that's much appreciated. And then the next, and I know this is kind of trying to isolate 2027 and the investments happen at different points throughout the year. But if we simply just add the 16. million of trio and 20 million that you called out in potash to the $45 million of guidance, you get to somewhere in the $80 million ballpark of CapEx in 2027. So I was just hoping you could maybe. Help us figure out if that's in the right ballpark. I know you had mentioned previously some maybe larger sustaining CapEx items as well in 2027. So just any kind of help us triangulate where 2027 CapEx could land. Thank you.

I'll take the initial part of that. Jason will probably have some color to add. But if you imputed that the way you just described, you'd be you'd be too high. So yeah, we did. This year from four. I mean, we started I think the year 45. We moved it down to 40. We've moved it back up to 45 because we wanted to get a head start on some of some of next year. So, you know, 5 million of that 36 is happening this year. But the addition of those two numbers is not going to get you close to what we're talking about for sustaining next year. It'll be south of that. But we're not prepared to give full year guidance just yet. We'll do that next quarter. One thing I'd add, Justin, to that just context wise, right? We do mine development activity every year, right? It's just given the magnitude of it that's following next year, we wanted to provide some context to that and the return profile. I'd say the same thing on the trio print, you know, there's reliability type investments ongoing year over year, but again, we wanted to provide context because because it will be a bit higher next year. So we want to get. Make sure people understand these are being done with the return focus right and but I agree wholeheartedly with Kevin's comment, which is why you just kind of add the two numbers together. Thank you so much for the time.

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jason Ercener with Bumbershoot Holdings. Your line is now open.

Please go ahead, Jason. Your line is now open. Sorry, I was on mute. Good afternoon. Just on the trio, on the additional puns. For next year, and then kind of this roadmap for maybe additional 100,000 tons with moderate investment from there, does that change at all, the marketability between the granular standard and fine line?

Like, are you adding any way to get additional tons of one, or is it just kind of across the board?

Yeah. Jason, thanks for the question. This is Zach. You know, as we think about the additional tons of Frio, you know, we see that growth coming from a variety of areas. First is focus on specialty crops, like we talked about earlier, and also where we see crops and soil types that have a broader recognition of sulfur and magnesium needs. And then with that growth, we see that as a combination of both market expansion and share gains. And within that expansion, that's geographically as well as customer-based and also crop-based, and we're currently working through. you know, putting together plans for what that will look like in the next year and beyond. And to the extent that the SOP project proceeds, that'll be a source as well as opposed to trying to find new markets in the US or trying to grab market share or whatever. So that'll be an outlet as well to the extent the project proceeds. So for the SOP project. Is it a, would you be using some of the standard and fine Langbanite as a raw input and then you don't have to market kind of the less desirable lower margin Langbanite because you could use that to create. The SOP, you could sell the higher margin granular, and then you kind of, you have sort of an exchange reaction instead of a Mannheim process so that you could get SOP and then also have.

Yeah, no Mannheim process required here because we already have the SOP on site. So the answer to your question is generally yes. That's how we're thinking about it and that's how it works. Okay. Does it kind of increase your desire or willingness to try to expand the TRIO production and have more of the standard? And find a product if you have an outlet for it, I guess is what I'm eventually trying to get to.

Jason, yes, absolutely. Absolutely. You know, SOP… He drives the ability for us to grow our trio production, you know, significantly more than it is today with, you know, providing a nice premium outlet for those fines into an upgraded specialty fertilizer product. Okay. And then I guess just broader question for Kevin, you know, around $400 million market cap, $160 million of cash. You still have the $50 million eventually coming from Exxon. You know, so it's around $190, $200 million of enterprise value just based on trailing numbers of EBITDA. I mean, you're kind of trading three and a half times EBITDA or so. So the implication, at least to me, is either EBITDA is unsustainable. You're at some cyclical peak, you're structurally, you know, not converting EBITDA cash and none of those sound at all kind of what you're saying, which is pretty upbeat, optimistic and anything. So I guess from your perspective. What are people sort of missing here? And what is going to change that in people's mind eventually for this being not only a sustainable business, but kind of an improving one? Significantly is what it sounds like. Yeah, that's an excellent question. I mean, the way I think about it is, you know, start with the core assets. And we've been pounding the table for ever since I've been here about. Laser focus on core assets, getting them running better on an improved basis, more consistent, more reliable.

And I think by any metric you look at over the last two to four years, that's a red or a green check mark in that box. And then over time, too, the other thing that's happened is as we've continued to survey the asset base, you've got some new eyes looking at things here and there. We're coming up with a lot of internal organic growth opportunities that we think are very investable that'll have, you know, very nice returns on them. So I think you're. Right. I think maybe we're not telling the story right, but this is a story of a very nice turnaround over two, three year period with a lot of upside potential in the future. Now. Baseline with all that is we have to execute. We have to continue to do that quarter after quarter after quarter to regain sort of that credibility in that track record. But, you know, we think that there's tremendous ups. Right here. And I'm not going to speak to the share buying program exactly, but we upped our purchases when we saw weakness in the stock. And I think you could expect that to continue if you continue to see weakness. Because we think there's upside value here and it's a good value. So if a little frustration is coming through in my voice, it should be because I am a little bit, but I'll. Also take the responsibility that we've got to tell the story better and make the value proposition more clear going going forward, because there's tremendous upside here.

Okay, awesome. That was it for me. Thanks. Thanks, Jason.

Your next question comes from the line of Vitalik Konanoff with Freedom Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Yeah, look on the trio side, as I mentioned earlier, you know, that's an underground mine. We have continuous minor sections operating. The underground, the continuous minor loads coal into a shuttle car, the shuttle car takes it to the belt, the belt takes it outside, we process it through the plant and generate a saleable product. All of that is a system and what we do. What we've been doing is, as I said earlier, de-bottlenecking that system. Part of the problem early on was we had some continuous mining units that were older and experiencing low reliability, low availability, etc. So we replaced those. And that enhanced the system. But what it does is it points out you've got a bottleneck somewhere else. So we're just moving, you know, constraint to constraint across the site. And what that's led to is more operating time, higher productivity, more bits on length to night time in the face. The mill's operating really well. Our yields are higher. We're staying in the ore zone better. All of that has contributed to better production and better fixed cost absorption over the last couple of years. And I think the exciting thing about it is, you know, this is not the eighth inning of it. Ninth inning ballgame, we're probably in the fourth inning here on this thing. So I think it's got more runway and we're excited to pursue it. We're being very thoughtful about it because, you know, markets are somewhat fixed in the U.S.

and we've got to think about proper outlets and not not destroying economic value as it relates to the value of the product in the in the marketplace. But, you know, expect us to be very thoughtful around that approach over the next, you know. two, three years, but we're we're super excited about what that potential runway looks like. If I could add, Vitaly, just on the on your question on the potash side, so. You know, the. The interesting part and the difference is in trio, you know, we're ramping up one facility, so the cost performance is really visible based on kind of wrapping that production and seeing that the unit cost improvements for that facility. In potash, right, we've got three facilities and the production increases this year, the production improvements this year, because we are improving production year over year in this year, but the improvements this year. have largely been at two of our mines, HB and Wendover, which are not a higher cost facility than Moab, which is the third facility. And so our production growth is happening at the two higher cost facilities. But at the same time, though, the cost per ton at those facilities is improving. And so the whole idea here for us is improved production at all of our facilities. And, you know, drive better results. It doesn't show up in that consolidated cost per ton or cogs per ton measure because of that product mix. And that's what we've been trying to communicate.

We're going to work and focus on better telling that story moving into moving into the future. But I think what you what we see is improved cost performance at all the sites as as the production wraps up. Just the mix is creating making it difficult to see it on a consolidated level.

Thanks for the subtle answer on the web over. Lithium project. Do I sense a change of sentiment here that the project could be, the timelines of installing could be delayed somewhat or am I guessing wrong? I mean, relative to kind of where we started talking about this, maybe a little bit, but, you know, they're still looking at definitive feasibility study by first quarter engineering continue. Value-add engineering continues, FEL3 process is done, advanced discussions continue with off-take partners. That's actually going exceedingly well. So, yeah. Relative to maybe where we started, a quarter or something, but it's not terrible, not to be unexpected in this space either.

All right, got it. And the last question for me on the. Recent USDA announcements, I'm just curious what conditions are still remaining before the funding becomes binding and how much customer or offtake commitment would you require before approving construction?

So. We're just in the early stages of finalizing that work with the USDA. I suspect that'll take a good bit of time. And as it relates to what we'd want to have. Pre-sold before we gave the green light. I think that's part and parcel to the final investment decision process. What the markets look like, where we can move the tons. As you know, a lot. Out of this product is an import product, which we think we could displace, but that would be part of the final investment decision along with final capex. What's the cost structure look like? Et cetera, et cetera. So. For, you know, in the next over the course of the next. Eight to 12 months, we have a lot of a lot of work to do, and we'll be able to update you in the coming quarters on how that works shaping up.

Honestly, thank you for taking.

Thank you. This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Kevin Crutchfield for any closing remarks. Thank you, operator. Once again, thanks to everybody for your. Interest for tuning in to today's call. If you have any questions in the future, please reach out if you're shy. You can just hit the investor website at investors at intrepid potash dot com and we'll certainly. Go up with you. Thank you and talk to you next quarter. This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.