Complete Technical Analysis Guide

Master technical analysis from basics to advanced. Learn chart patterns, indicators like RSI and MACD, support and resistance, candlestick patterns, and how to read stock charts like professional traders.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements. Unlike fundamental analysis that evaluates a company's financial health and intrinsic value, technical analysis focuses exclusively on price charts, patterns, and indicators.

Technical analysis is built on three core principles:

1. Price Discounts Everything

All information - fundamentals, news, sentiment - is already reflected in the stock price. You don't need to analyze earnings; the market has already priced it in.

2. Price Moves in Trends

Stocks tend to trend rather than move randomly. Once a trend is established, it's more likely to continue than reverse. "The trend is your friend."

3. History Tends to Repeat

Market psychology remains consistent. Patterns that worked in the past tend to work in the future because human behavior around fear and greed is predictable.

How to Do Technical Analysis: Step-by-Step

1

Identify the Trend

Start by determining the overall trend using moving averages and trendlines. Is the stock in an uptrend (higher highs and higher lows), downtrend (lower highs and lower lows), or range-bound? The trend is your friend - trade in the direction of the primary trend for higher probability setups.

2

Find Support and Resistance Levels

Identify key support (price floor where buying pressure exceeds selling) and resistance (price ceiling where selling exceeds buying) levels using previous highs/lows, moving averages, and round numbers. These levels often act as entry/exit points and stop-loss placement zones.

3

Recognize Chart Patterns

Look for continuation patterns (flags, pennants, triangles) or reversal patterns (head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms). Patterns provide context about likely future price direction and help time entries and exits with better precision.

4

Apply Technical Indicators

Use indicators to confirm your analysis: RSI for overbought/oversold conditions, MACD for momentum and trend changes, Bollinger Bands for volatility and mean reversion. Never rely on one indicator alone - look for confluence of multiple signals.

5

Analyze Volume

Volume confirms price movements. Price increases on high volume are more reliable than low-volume rallies. Breakouts above resistance or below support should be accompanied by volume spikes. Declining volume during a trend suggests weakening momentum.

6

Plan Your Trade

Define your entry point, stop-loss (risk management), and profit target before entering. Use technical levels to set stops (below support for longs, above resistance for shorts). Calculate position size based on your risk tolerance. Never risk more than 1-2% of capital per trade.

Essential Chart Patterns

Chart patterns are formations created by price movements that tend to produce predictable outcomes. Patterns are classified as reversal (trend change) or continuation (trend continues).

Head and Shoulders

ReversalHigh Reliability

Bearish reversal pattern with three peaks - a higher peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders). Break below the neckline confirms the pattern with a measured move equal to the height of the head.

Inverse Head and Shoulders

ReversalHigh Reliability

Bullish reversal pattern - mirror image of head and shoulders. Three troughs with middle trough (head) lower than shoulders. Break above neckline signals bullish reversal.

Double Top

ReversalMedium-High Reliability

Bearish reversal pattern forming two peaks at approximately the same level. Break below support between the peaks confirms the pattern. Common after extended uptrends.

Double Bottom

ReversalMedium-High Reliability

Bullish reversal pattern with two troughs at similar levels. Break above resistance between troughs confirms pattern. Often signals end of downtrend.

Ascending Triangle

Continuation (Bullish)Medium Reliability

Bullish pattern with flat top resistance and rising support. Buyers increasingly aggressive, eventually break through resistance. Higher volume on breakout confirms.

Descending Triangle

Continuation (Bearish)Medium Reliability

Bearish pattern with flat bottom support and descending resistance. Sellers increasingly aggressive. Break below support on high volume confirms bearish continuation.

Symmetrical Triangle

ContinuationMedium Reliability

Consolidation pattern with converging trendlines. Typically continues prior trend. Direction of breakout (up or down) determines trade direction. Wait for breakout confirmation.

Cup and Handle

Continuation (Bullish)High Reliability

Bullish continuation pattern. "Cup" is rounded bottom, "handle" is small consolidation. Break above handle resistance signals continuation of uptrend.

Bull Flag / Pennant

Continuation (Bullish)High Reliability

Short-term consolidation (flag/pennant) after strong move up (pole). Typically breaks higher, continuing the uptrend. High-probability pattern in strong trends.

Bear Flag / Pennant

Continuation (Bearish)High Reliability

Brief consolidation after sharp decline. Pattern slopes against downtrend before breaking lower. Reliable in strong downtrends with high volume.

Key Technical Indicators Explained

Technical indicators use mathematical calculations on price and volume to generate trading signals. Never rely on one indicator alone - use multiple indicators for confirmation.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Momentum - Overbought/Oversold

How It Works:

RSI measures momentum on 0-100 scale. Above 70 = overbought (potential reversal down), below 30 = oversold (potential reversal up). Divergence between price and RSI signals trend weakness.

Settings:

14-period is standard

How to Use:

Look for oversold bounces in uptrends, overbought reversals in downtrends. Divergence (price makes new high, RSI doesn't) warns of reversal.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

Trend Following - Momentum

How It Works:

MACD = difference between 12-day and 26-day EMA. Signal line = 9-day EMA of MACD. Histogram shows distance between MACD and signal. Crossovers generate buy/sell signals.

Settings:

12, 26, 9 (standard)

How to Use:

MACD crossing above signal = bullish, below = bearish. Histogram expanding shows strengthening momentum. Divergence signals potential reversals.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility - Mean Reversion

How It Works:

Middle band = 20-day SMA. Upper/lower bands = 2 standard deviations. Bands widen in high volatility, narrow in low volatility. Price tends to mean-revert to middle band.

Settings:

20-period, 2 std dev

How to Use:

Price at upper band = potentially overbought, lower band = oversold. Squeeze (narrow bands) often precedes big moves. Walk the band in strong trends.

Moving Averages (SMA/EMA)

Trend Identification - Support/Resistance

How It Works:

SMA = simple average. EMA = exponential average (more weight to recent prices). Price above MA = uptrend, below = downtrend. MAs act as dynamic support/resistance.

Settings:

20, 50, 200-day common

How to Use:

Golden cross (50 > 200) = bullish, death cross (50 < 200) = bearish. Use as trailing stops. Multiple MA alignment confirms trend strength.

Volume

Confirmation - Strength

How It Works:

Number of shares traded. High volume = strong conviction, low volume = weak. Volume should confirm price moves. Increasing volume in trend = healthy, decreasing = weakening.

Settings:

Compare to average volume

How to Use:

Breakouts need volume. Volume precedes price (accumulation/distribution). Volume divergence warns of reversals.

Stochastic Oscillator

Momentum - Overbought/Oversold

How It Works:

Compares closing price to price range over period. %K line (fast) and %D line (slow). Above 80 = overbought, below 20 = oversold. Crossovers generate signals.

Settings:

14, 3, 3 (standard)

How to Use:

Look for %K crossing above %D in oversold zone (buy) or below in overbought (sell). Works best in ranging markets.

Support and Resistance: Foundation of Technical Analysis

Support Levels

Support is a price level where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, creating a "floor" that prevents price from falling further. Buyers believe the stock is undervalued at this level.

How to Identify:

  • • Previous lows where price bounced
  • • Moving averages (especially 50/200-day)
  • • Round numbers ($50, $100)
  • • Fibonacci retracement levels
  • • Previous resistance becomes support

Resistance Levels

Resistance is a price level where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, creating a "ceiling" that prevents price from rising further. Sellers believe the stock is overvalued.

How to Identify:

  • • Previous highs where price stalled
  • • Moving averages in downtrends
  • • Round numbers and psychological levels
  • • Fibonacci extension levels
  • • Previous support becomes resistance

Support/Resistance Trading Strategy

Buy near support with stop below support. Sell near resistance or when support breaks. Breakouts above resistance (with volume) often lead to new uptrends. Breakdowns below support signal potential downtrends.

Key Principle: When resistance is broken, it often becomes new support (and vice versa). This role reversal is a critical concept in technical analysis.

Volume Analysis: Confirmation is Key

Volume is the number of shares traded. It confirms the strength of price movements and validates patterns. The saying goes: "Volume precedes price" - smart money accumulates or distributes before major moves.

High Volume Signals

  • Breakouts: Volume spike confirms breakout validity
  • Trend Strength: Increasing volume in trend direction = healthy
  • Reversals: High volume at tops/bottoms signals capitulation
  • Conviction: Strong moves with volume are more reliable

Low Volume Warnings

  • Weak Breakouts: Low-volume breakouts often fail
  • Trend Weakness: Declining volume = losing momentum
  • False Signals: Price moves without volume lack conviction
  • Caution: Trade carefully in low liquidity conditions

Candlestick Patterns

Candlestick charts display open, high, low, and close for each period. Patterns reveal market psychology and provide early reversal or continuation signals.

Understanding Candlesticks

Bullish Candle (Green/White)

Close above open. Body = difference between open/close. Upper wick = high above close. Lower wick = low below open. Larger body = stronger conviction.

Bearish Candle (Red/Black)

Close below open. Body shows selling pressure. Long upper wick = rejection of higher prices. Long lower wick = some buying support. Size matters - larger bodies show stronger sentiment.

Doji

Indecision / Potential Reversal

Open and close nearly equal. Long wicks show indecision. At tops = potential reversal down, at bottoms = potential reversal up. Requires confirmation.

Hammer / Inverted Hammer

Bullish Reversal

Small body, long lower wick (hammer) or upper wick (inverted). Found at bottoms. Shows rejection of lower prices and potential reversal higher.

Shooting Star / Hanging Man

Bearish Reversal

Small body, long upper wick (shooting star) or lower wick (hanging man) at tops. Shows rejection of higher prices and potential reversal lower.

Bullish Engulfing

Bullish Reversal

Small red candle followed by large green candle that "engulfs" prior candle. Shows strong buying pressure overwhelming sellers. High-probability reversal.

Bearish Engulfing

Bearish Reversal

Small green candle followed by large red candle engulfing it. Strong selling overwhelms buyers. Reliable reversal pattern at tops.

Morning Star / Evening Star

Strong Reversal

Three-candle pattern. Morning star (bullish): down candle, small-body indecision, strong up candle. Evening star (bearish): reverse. Very reliable.

Technical vs Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis

Studies price charts, patterns, and indicators to predict future price movements. Focuses on WHEN to buy/sell.

Best For:

  • • Short-term trading (day/swing trading)
  • • Timing entries and exits
  • • Risk management (stop losses)
  • • Identifying trends and momentum
  • • Quick decision making

Fundamental Analysis

Analyzes company financials, earnings, competitive position to determine intrinsic value. Focuses on WHAT to buy.

Best For:

  • • Long-term investing
  • • Identifying undervalued companies
  • • Understanding business quality
  • • Value and growth investing
  • • Building conviction for holds

The Best Approach: Combine Both

Professional investors use fundamental analysis to identify quality companies with strong prospects, then use technical analysis to time optimal entry points. Fundamentals tell you WHAT to buy, technicals tell you WHEN. For example: identify a fundamentally strong company trading below intrinsic value, then wait for technical confirmation (break above resistance, oversold bounce, bullish pattern) before buying.

Practice Technical Analysis with Live Charts

Apply technical analysis to these liquid, technically-responsive stocks:

Common Technical Analysis Mistakes

Relying on One Indicator

No single indicator is perfect. RSI can stay overbought for weeks in strong uptrends. MACD can lag in fast markets. Always use multiple indicators for confirmation and understand their limitations in different market conditions.

Ignoring the Trend

"The trend is your friend" - fighting the trend is costly. Don't short just because RSI is overbought if the trend is strongly up. Don't buy oversold conditions in downtrends. Trade WITH the trend for higher probability.

No Risk Management

Even the best technical setup can fail. Always use stop losses placed at logical levels (below support, above resistance). Risk no more than 1-2% of capital per trade. Perfect pattern recognition means nothing without proper position sizing.

Overtrading Low-Probability Setups

Not every pattern is worth trading. Wait for high-quality setups with multiple confirmations: clean pattern, volume confirmation, trend alignment, indicator confluence. Quality over quantity - better to trade 2-3 excellent setups than 10 mediocre ones.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is technical analysis and how does it work?

Technical analysis is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements. It's based on the idea that price reflects all available information and that history tends to repeat as market psychology remains consistent. Technical analysts use charts, patterns, and indicators to identify trends, support/resistance levels, and trading opportunities. Unlike fundamental analysis (which values companies), technical analysis focuses purely on price action.

How do you read stock charts?

Start by identifying the trend (uptrend, downtrend, or range). Look at timeframes from daily to weekly to monthly for context. Identify support (where price bounces) and resistance (where price stalls). Recognize chart patterns like triangles, head and shoulders, or flags. Apply indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation. Analyze volume to confirm price moves. Candlestick patterns provide additional insights on short-term sentiment.

What is the RSI indicator and how do you use it?

RSI (Relative Strength Index) measures momentum on a 0-100 scale. Above 70 indicates overbought conditions (potential to reverse down), below 30 indicates oversold (potential to reverse up). However, in strong trends, RSI can stay overbought/oversold for extended periods. The best signals come from divergence: if price makes a new high but RSI doesn't, momentum is weakening and a reversal may be coming. Use RSI in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation.

What is MACD and how does it work?

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows the relationship between two moving averages. It consists of the MACD line (12-day EMA minus 26-day EMA), signal line (9-day EMA of MACD), and histogram (distance between MACD and signal). When MACD crosses above the signal line, it generates a bullish signal. Below = bearish. The histogram shows momentum strength. MACD works best in trending markets and can lag in choppy conditions.

What are support and resistance levels?

Support is a price level where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, creating a "floor" where price bounces. Resistance is where selling exceeds buying, creating a "ceiling" where price stalls. These levels form at previous highs/lows, moving averages, round numbers, or psychological levels. When price breaks through resistance, it often becomes new support (and vice versa). Stronger levels have multiple touches, high volume, and psychological significance.

What are the most reliable chart patterns?

Head and shoulders (reversal) and cup and handle (continuation) are among the most reliable, especially with volume confirmation. Bull/bear flags in strong trends have high success rates. Double tops/bottoms are reliable at extremes. Triangles can be effective but need breakout confirmation. Pattern reliability improves with: (1) longer timeframes (daily+ better than intraday), (2) volume confirmation on breakout, (3) multiple timeframe alignment, (4) clean, well-formed patterns. No pattern is 100% reliable - always use stop losses.

How do moving averages work?

Moving averages smooth price data to identify trends. Simple Moving Average (SMA) is the average price over X periods. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) gives more weight to recent prices. Common periods: 20-day (short-term), 50-day (medium-term), 200-day (long-term). Price above MA = uptrend, below = downtrend. MAs act as dynamic support/resistance. Golden cross (50-day crosses above 200-day) is bullish, death cross (below) is bearish. Use multiple MAs to confirm trend strength.

What is the difference between technical and fundamental analysis?

Fundamental analysis values companies based on financial statements, earnings, cash flows, and economic factors to determine intrinsic value. Technical analysis studies price charts and patterns to predict future movements regardless of underlying value. Fundamentals answer "what to buy," technicals answer "when to buy/sell." Long-term investors often prefer fundamentals, traders prefer technicals. The best approach combines both: use fundamentals to find quality companies, technicals to time entry/exit.

What are Bollinger Bands and how are they used?

Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (20-day SMA) and upper/lower bands (2 standard deviations from middle). They measure volatility and potential overbought/oversold conditions. When bands narrow (squeeze), volatility is low and a big move is coming. When price touches upper band, it may be overbought; lower band = oversold. However, in strong trends, price can "walk the band." Use with RSI or other indicators for confirmation. Bollinger Band bounces work best in range-bound markets.

How important is volume in technical analysis?

Volume is critical for confirmation. Price moves on high volume are more reliable than low volume. Key principles: (1) Volume should increase in direction of trend (up-volume in uptrends), (2) Breakouts need volume spikes to be valid, (3) Volume precedes price - accumulation (high volume at lows) or distribution (high volume at highs) signals future moves, (4) Decreasing volume in trend = weakening momentum. Always analyze volume alongside price action.

What are candlestick patterns?

Candlestick patterns show price action within a specific period. Each candle displays open, high, low, close. The body (open to close) and wicks (high/low) reveal sentiment. Key patterns: Doji (indecision), hammer (bullish reversal), shooting star (bearish reversal), engulfing patterns (strong reversals), morning/evening star (major reversals). Candlesticks work best on daily+ timeframes and need confirmation from next candle or volume. They provide early signals of sentiment shifts.

Can technical analysis predict stock prices?

Technical analysis doesn't predict exact prices but estimates probability and direction. It identifies high-probability setups based on historical patterns and market psychology. Success depends on proper risk management, confirmation from multiple indicators, and accepting that no setup is 100% reliable. Professional traders use technical analysis for entries/exits while managing risk with stop losses. It works best combined with fundamental analysis and proper position sizing. Expect 50-60% win rate with proper risk/reward ratios.

What timeframe should I use for technical analysis?

Timeframe depends on your trading style: Day traders use 1-5 minute charts, swing traders use hourly to daily, investors use daily to weekly. Always analyze multiple timeframes - use higher timeframe (weekly/monthly) for overall trend, intermediate (daily) for entry timing, and lower (hourly) for precise entry. Longer timeframes are more reliable and have less noise. Start with daily charts until you master the basics. Signals that align across multiple timeframes have higher probability of success.

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