Is MOS Stock Undervalued?

A comprehensive valuation analysis of Mosaic Co (MOS) examining current multiples, intrinsic value, and comparing to analyst expectations.

Updated February 28, 2026•8 min read•View Full Analysis

Valuation Verdict

↑

Potentially Undervalued

8929262161.0% upside potential

Based on our analysis, Mosaic Co appears to be potentially undervalued at the current price of $27.84. Our fair value estimate of $2485906613.46 suggests upside potential of approximately 8929262161.0%.

Current Valuation Metrics

Valuation ratios help us understand how the market is pricing MOS relative to its fundamentals. Let's examine the key multiples investors are paying today.

P/E Ratio

7.04

Low

P/B Ratio

0.89

Low

P/S Ratio

0.72

Low

EV/EBITDA

6.16

Low

Understanding the Metrics

P/E Ratio: At 7.04x earnings, MOS is trading below the typical market average of 15-20x.
P/B Ratio: A P/B of 0.89 means investors pay $0.89 for every $1 of book value.
P/S Ratio: The price-to-sales ratio of 0.72 indicates how much investors value each dollar of revenue.
EV/EBITDA: This ratio of 6.16 helps compare MOS to peers while accounting for debt.

Fair Value Estimate

Using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we estimate the intrinsic value of Mosaic Co stock. This fundamental analysis looks at the company's ability to generate future cash flows and discounts them back to today's value.

Current Price

$27.84

Fair Value Estimate

$2485906613.46

Implied Return+8929262161.0%

Our DCF model suggests MOS may be undervalued by approximately 8929262161.0%. This implies the market may be pricing in more pessimistic growth expectations than our base case scenario.

Analyst Price Targets

Wall Street analysts provide price targets based on their fundamental research and models. Let's see how the consensus view compares to the current price.

Current Price

$27.84

→

Analyst Target

$31.80

Implied Upside14.2%

The consensus analyst price target of $31.80 suggests 14.2% upside potential from current levels. Analysts appear optimistic about the stock's prospects.

Investment Conclusion

Bottom Line

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Mosaic Co (MOS) appears to be undervalued at $27.84. With a fair value estimate of $2485906613.46, the stock offers potential upside for long-term investors willing to wait for the market to recognize its intrinsic value.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.