Is ARMN Stock Undervalued?

A comprehensive valuation analysis of Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) examining current multiples, intrinsic value, and comparing to analyst expectations.

8 min readView Full Analysis

Valuation Verdict

Potentially Undervalued

1604206026.7% upside potential

Based on our analysis, Aris Mining Corporation appears to be potentially undervalued at the current price of $19.57. Our fair value estimate of $313943138.99 suggests upside potential of approximately 1604206026.7%.

Current Valuation Metrics

Valuation ratios help us understand how the market is pricing ARMN relative to its fundamentals. Let's examine the key multiples investors are paying today.

P/E Ratio
67.04
High
P/B Ratio
3.26
High
P/S Ratio
4.79
Moderate
EV/EBITDA
16.41
High

Understanding the Metrics

  • P/E Ratio: At 67.04x earnings, ARMN is trading above the typical market average of 15-20x.
  • P/B Ratio: A P/B of 3.26 means investors pay $3.26 for every $1 of book value.
  • P/S Ratio: The price-to-sales ratio of 4.79 indicates how much investors value each dollar of revenue.
  • EV/EBITDA: This ratio of 16.41 helps compare ARMN to peers while accounting for debt.

Fair Value Estimate

Using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we estimate the intrinsic value of Aris Mining Corporation stock. This fundamental analysis looks at the company's ability to generate future cash flows and discounts them back to today's value.

Current Price
$19.57
vs
Fair Value Estimate
$313943138.99
Implied Return+1604206026.7%

Our DCF model suggests ARMN may be undervalued by approximately 1604206026.7%. This implies the market may be pricing in more pessimistic growth expectations than our base case scenario.

Investment Conclusion

Bottom Line

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) appears to be undervalued at $19.57. With a fair value estimate of $313943138.99, the stock offers potential upside for long-term investors willing to wait for the market to recognize its intrinsic value.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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