Is AEO Stock Undervalued?
A comprehensive valuation analysis of American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO) examining current multiples, intrinsic value, and comparing to analyst expectations.
Valuation Verdict
Potentially Undervalued
15890551700.5% upside potential
Based on our analysis, American Eagle Outfitters Inc appears to be potentially undervalued at the current price of $25.51. Our fair value estimate of $4053679764.31 suggests upside potential of approximately 15890551700.5%.
Current Valuation Metrics
Valuation ratios help us understand how the market is pricing AEO relative to its fundamentals. Let's examine the key multiples investors are paying today.
Understanding the Metrics
- P/E Ratio: At 22.58x earnings, AEO is trading near the typical market average of 15-20x.
- P/B Ratio: A P/B of 2.66 means investors pay $2.66 for every $1 of book value.
- P/S Ratio: The price-to-sales ratio of 0.81 indicates how much investors value each dollar of revenue.
- EV/EBITDA: This ratio of 12.02 helps compare AEO to peers while accounting for debt.
Fair Value Estimate
Using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we estimate the intrinsic value of American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock. This fundamental analysis looks at the company's ability to generate future cash flows and discounts them back to today's value.
Our DCF model suggests AEO may be undervalued by approximately 15890551700.5%. This implies the market may be pricing in more pessimistic growth expectations than our base case scenario.
Analyst Price Targets
Wall Street analysts provide price targets based on their fundamental research and models. Let's see how the consensus view compares to the current price.
The consensus analyst price target of $25.78 suggests 1.0% upside potential from current levels. Analysts appear optimistic about the stock's prospects.
Investment Conclusion
Bottom Line
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO) appears to be undervalued at $25.51. With a fair value estimate of $4053679764.31, the stock offers potential upside for long-term investors willing to wait for the market to recognize its intrinsic value.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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