Should I Buy GEO Stock in 2026?
Data-driven analysis and honest assessment for Geo Group Inc
Current Price: $18.79P/E: 10.3
Decision Score
Hold
Based on 6 fundamental factors
Score Breakdown:
Attractive P/E of 10.3
Slow growth of 1%
Thin margins (0% net)
Financial health data limited
Excellent FCF yield of 11.9%
No recent insider activity
Key Investment Metrics
Current Price
$18.79
P/E Ratio
10.32
Revenue Growth
0.2%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Market Cap
$2.5B
Dividend Yield
None
How GEO Compares to Competitors
Understanding how GEO stacks up against peers helps inform your investment decision.
How GEO Compares to Peers
Upcoming Events for GEO
+5 Reasons TO Buy GEO
1. High free cash flow yield of 11.9%
strongFCF yield above 5% means substantial cash generation for dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.
2. Attractively valued at 10.3x earnings
moderateA P/E ratio of 10.3 is below the market average of ~20x, suggesting the stock may be undervalued.
-5 Reasons NOT to Buy GEO
1. Thin profit margins of 0.1%
high riskLow margins provide little cushion against cost increases or pricing pressure.
2. Low gross margins of 25%
medium riskMargins below 30% indicate commodity-like pricing and input cost vulnerability.
3. Minimal revenue growth
low riskGrowth of 0.2% barely keeps pace with inflation.
Who Should Buy GEO?
Investment Profile
Risk Level
High
Recommended Holding Period
3-5 years
Best For:
- ✓
Value Investors
P/E of 10.3 offers margin of safety
Not Suitable For:
- ✗
Growth Investors
Limited 0% growth may disappoint
- ✗
Income-Focused Retirees
No dividend paid
- ✗
Risk-Averse Investors
High risk may cause uncomfortable volatility
- ✗
Large Position Traders
Lower liquidity may impact execution
Consider These Alternatives
If you're interested in GEO, compare these Real Estate peers:
Pro tip: Compare GEO directly with competitors using our comparison tool to see which stock better fits your criteria.
Get the Full Picture
Access AI-powered insights, DCF valuations, insider trading data, and real-time analysis for GEO
Frequently Asked Questions
What is GEO stock price today?
GEO (Geo Group Inc) stock is trading at $18.79 as of the latest market data. Stock prices update in real-time during market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET).
Is GEO stock going up or down today?
GEO stock price movements are influenced by market conditions, news, earnings reports, and investor sentiment. Check our live dashboard for real-time price changes and technical indicators.
Should I buy GEO stock now?
The decision to buy GEO depends on your investment strategy, risk tolerance, and financial goals. Our AI analysis evaluates fundamentals, valuation metrics, growth prospects, and market conditions to help inform your decision.
Is GEO a buy, hold, or sell right now?
Our AI-powered analysis provides buy/hold/sell recommendations for GEO based on multiple factors including valuation, growth metrics, technical indicators, and analyst consensus. Visit our dashboard for the latest recommendation.
Is GEO stock overvalued or undervalued?
GEO currently trades at a P/E ratio of 10.32, which may suggest attractive valuation. Our DCF calculator provides intrinsic value estimates to help determine if GEO is fairly priced.
What is GEO's P/E ratio?
GEO has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.32, which measures how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. Compare this to industry peers and historical averages for context.
What is GEO's market cap?
GEO (Geo Group Inc) has a market capitalization of $2.52 billion, making it a small-cap stock.
What is GEO's price to book ratio?
GEO trades at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64, which compares the stock price to the company's book value per share. A P/B below 1.0 may indicate undervaluation, while above 3.0 may suggest premium pricing.
Deep Dive Analysis
Explore comprehensive analysis tools to make an informed decision about Geo Group Inc
Full Stock Analysis
Complete GEO overview with charts and data
Is GEO Undervalued?
DCF valuation and intrinsic value analysis
Dividend Analysis
Yield, payout ratio, and dividend history
Growth Analysis
Revenue, earnings, and expansion metrics
Financial Health
Debt, liquidity, and balance sheet strength
Price Prediction
2026 forecast and price targets
Stock Forecast
12-month price forecast and analyst targets
Earnings Date
Next earnings date and historical results
Compare Before You Buy
See how GEO stacks up against its competitors
Similar Investment Decisions
Explore investment analyses for stocks similar to Geo Group Inc
Complete GEO Analysis
Compare GEO With
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The decision score and recommendations are based on quantitative factors and do not account for all risks, your personal financial situation, or qualitative factors. Always do your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.